Change is difficult under the best of circumstances, much less when you have been subject to multiple "upheavals". So I understand your wariness about experiencing one more change within your organization. I suggest that you read any of John Kotter's books on change to help understand the process and how to implement successful change initiatives.
With this said, however, I would like to address your perspective as a "senior manager, though not directly involved in the decision". It seems as if you are looking for "evidence" to show that this change will fail before it has even been launched. As a senior manager, I believe your responsibility is to be part of a cohesive team in driving the change forward. So, if you are not onboard, it is time to do some soul-searching. What else is going on in the organization that drives your negativity? It might be time to have a heart-to-heart with your boss that results in either a shared vision and your support of the change efforts or a decision that you must travel another path. You are not benefitting yourself - or the organization - by "fighting" this change. Life is too short.
Best of luck to you.
Is this answer helpful? Schedule a free consultation with Susan.
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